Notes of Note from John F. Ince

Archive for July, 2010

The short-term risks of growing national debt –

a growing level of federal debt would also increase the probability of a sudden fiscal crisis, during which investors would lose confidence in the government’s ability to manage its budget, and the government would thereby lose its ability to borrow at affordable rates. It is possible that interest rates would rise gradually as investors’ confidence declined, giving legislators advance warning of the worsening situation and sufficient time to make policy choices that could avert a crisis. But as other countries’ experiences show, it is also possible that investors would lose confidence abruptly and interest rates on government debt would rise sharply. The exact point at which such a crisis might occur for the United States is unknown, in part because the ratio of federal debt to GDP is climbing into unfamiliar territory and in part because the risk of a crisis is influenced by a number of other factors, including the government’s long-term budget outlook, its near-term borrowing needs, and the health of the economy. When fiscal crises do occur, they often happen during an economic downturn, which amplifies the difficulties of adjusting fiscal policy in response.

If the United States encountered a fiscal crisis, the abrupt rise in interest rates would reflect investors’ fears that the government would renege on the terms of its existing debt or that it would increase the supply of money to finance its activities or pay creditors and thereby boost inflation. To restore investors’ confidence, policymakers would probably need to enact spending cuts or tax increases more drastic and painful than those that would have been necessary had the adjustments come sooner.”

via The short-term risks of growing national debt –

Is ‘conscious capitalism’ the future of venture capital? (Morning Read) « MedCity News

Is “conscious capitalism” the future of venture capital? It is if you ask Silicon Valley lawyer John Montgomery, who’s launching a column on the topic for peHUB. For those unfamiliar with the term, Montgomery lists three key principles of conscious capitalism: Recognizing that a company has a higher “meta-purpose” than just generating profits, delivering value to a wide swath of stakeholders beyond just the traditional management and shareholders and viewing the CEO as a “steward” who must work for the benefit of all those stakeholders.

via Is ‘conscious capitalism’ the future of venture capital? (Morning Read) « MedCity News.

Andy Borowitz: Apple Says iPhone Works Perfectly Except for “Phone” Feature

CUPERTINO, CA (The Borowitz Report) – At a much-anticipated press conference at Apple headquarters, company founder Steve Jobs defended the performance of the new iPhone today, telling reporters that “it works great except for the ‘phone’ feature.”

Mr. Jobs downplayed the problems with the iPhone, noting that many consumers own iPhones for months before realizing that the device contains a phone.

“The most important features of the iPhone, like the app that gives you a robot voice, work better than ever,” Mr. Jobs said.

The Apple founder said that the company would be offering a fix to consumers who actually want to use their iPhone as a phone: “It’s a special attachment that allows you to plug your iPhone into a landline.” More here.

The Los Angeles Times says Andy Borowitz has “one of the funniest Twitter feeds around.” Follow Andy on Twitter here.

via Andy Borowitz: Apple Says iPhone Works Perfectly Except for “Phone” Feature.

Is Social Finance the ‘Next Big Thing’? – Al Etmanski

Recently the UK Telegraph quoted Sir Ronald Cohen, known as the ‘father’ of the venture capital and private equity industry in the UK, declaring that entrepreneurship should be harnessed as an agent of social change.  Speaking to Harvard business students he advised the next big thing in the business world is social finance.  If I had been leaving Harvard in 2010, this would be the area I would want to be going into, he added.

“I think societies everywhere will come to the conclusion that an important part of the capitalist system is having a powerful social sector to address social issues, because government doesn’t have the resources.”

Ronald Cohen has already played a major role is the growth and development of a social finance infrastructure in the UK. He seems poised for another great roll forward.

Fortunately Cohen is not alone.  Here are quotes from Judith Rodin, President of the Rockefeller Foundation in her speech: Innovative Philanthropy for the 21st Century: Harnessing the Power of Impact Investing.

At the Foundation, we also see an unfolding tale of two globalizations.  One generates

substantial progress for many.  Another leaves many more by the wayside – families and

populations that fall further behind as the pace of change quickens.

Although philanthropists can only muster billions of dollars against the trillions of dollars of

social needs, private investors like you in this room manage more than $100 trillion in for-profit capital markets. So we no longer ask ourselves, ‘why isn’t there enough money to solve social problems?  Instead we ask, How can we tap into these enormous private capital flows to create both financial profit and social return?

via Is Social Finance the ‘Next Big Thing’? – Al Etmanski.

How nonprofits could access needed capital. – By Douglas K. Smith – Slate Magazine

Private-sector companies have ready access to a gargantuan capital market of tens of trillions of dollars globally. Nonprofit organizations, by contrast, are crippled by capital-raising efforts that are minuscule, inefficient, and badly organized. As a result, nonprofits that have developed solutions for critical and growing challenges—in fields like education, health care, housing, economic development, and environmental sustainability—often struggle to grow.

This is a problem with a solution that is entirely within the power of our legislatures. Like the private sector, nonprofits need investors who take risks in pursuit of financial return.

We might call this approach “dynamic deductibility.” Here’s how it would work.

via How nonprofits could access needed capital. – By Douglas K. Smith – Slate Magazine.

Bear vs. Bear | The Big Money

Star economist and doomsayer Nouriel Roubini thinks inflation’s coming, and it’ll be a big 1970s-style problem. Star investor John Paulson sees it right around the corner and thinks he can make money on it. Bond king Bill Gross has flipped and flopped and again flipped on it. Historian Niall Ferguson believes it will last for years, and there’s nothing we can do about it. New York Times columnist Paul Krugman thinks inflation is a much less pressing danger to the economy than the anti-inflation hawks. Uber-investor George Soros thinks that so many other people are worried about inflation that he’s betting on a bubble in gold driven by inflation fear.

Inflation may be running now at a rate of 2 percent a year—as low as it’s been since the mid-1990s (and before that, the early 1960s)—but investors and pundits are already in the throes of a full-scale inflation war. It’s a raging debate about where the economy is heading—and maybe about how we can stop it from getting there.

We’ve been conditioned to divide economic forecasters into the “bulls,” who think the economy will boom, and the “bears,” who think it will crash. But this is a new kind of battle. Call it “Bear vs. Bear.” It’s between two kinds of worriers: One group  thinks that we’re headed for an extended period of inflation, and another that believes we’re a lot more likely to have a deflationary double-dip recession.

via Bear vs. Bear | The Big Money.

Is democracy the next big business opportunity? Internet Voting Firm Gets $9.2 Million Funding

Is democracy the next big business opportunity? Last week, Omidyar Network gave MySociety $575,000. Today, Scytl, a firm which makes internet-based voting technology, has raised $9.2 million investment funding.

The Barcelona-based company says its technology has been used by 13 of the 16 national governments which have tried electronic public voting, including U.S., France, Norway, Bosnia-Herzegovina and Australia.

Specifically, a Florida county used it in 2008, it’s powered two local authority elections in the UK and several Catalan agencies are using it.

Scytl’s offerings include remote internet voting, tools to facilitate voter engagement in city council politics, election management software and systems to facilitate parliaments’ and assemblies’ own voting, as well as commercial elections in businesses.

The funds are led by Balderton Capital along with previous Scytl investor Nauta Capital. Balderton’s partner Bernard Liautaud joins Scytl’s board.

via Internet Voting Firm Scytl Gets $9.2 Million Funding | paidContent.